[77] On May 14, former President Donald Trump endorsed Mastriano. Before his time as the attorney general for Pennsylvania, Shapiro was the chairman of the Board of Commissioners in Montgomery County. Justice. Pennsylvanias general election in November 8, 2022. 36 governor seats contested in 2022. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. ", "Salena Zito: A 'once in a lifetime' candidate", "Silicon Valley billionaires square off over support for Trump and the MAGA movement", "Republican Panic Grows After Mastriano Wins", "Josh Shapiro raises money warning of Donald Trump's ads (which don't even mention Doug Mastriano)", "Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro talks importance of Gen Z civic engagement at Clark Park rally", "Shapiro, Mastriano campaign in Washington County, rally supporters in PA governor race", "PA Gov. Pennsylvania has big fights ahead, and we need a leader who knows how to win for the people. Steve Sisolak, a Democrat, and Joe Lombardo, the Las Vegas-area sheriff who was endorsed by Donald Trump. November 7:Toss-up races projected. Mastriano previously denied breaking any laws that day, and he has not been charged with any crime in connection to the Capitol attack. Shapiro's large margin of victory has been widely credited with helping down-ballot Democrats in concurrent elections. For example, if he polls 90% among Republicans (he is at 74% now), the election could end in a Tie, Post SCOTUS Decision, Gain for Shapiro (D): +3.3%, Post SCOTUS Decision, loss for Mastriano (R): (-5.0%). You deserve to hear our thinking. Governor Bid", "Lt. governor candidate ends campaign, endorses primary opponent who shares criminal justice reform goals", "Mastriano endorses fellow Army veteran as his choice for Pa. lieutenant governor", "Toomey Endorses Coleman for Lieutenant Governor", "Russ Diamond for Lieutenant Governor of Pennsylvania | Stand for Health Freedom", "Third-party candidates file to run for Pa. governor, Senate", "Unofficial Candidate Listing Post Primary", "PA Governor Race: Third-party candidates file to run vs Shapiro/Mastriano", "Libertarian party introduces lineup of candidates for 2022", "We would like to thank the outgoing Executive Committee for their outstanding service to the party this year! 2022 Pennsylvania Governor | 2020: Biden (D) 50.0, Trump (R) 48.8. Incumbent Democratic Governor Ed Rendell was term-limited and thus ineligible to seek re-election in 2010. PENNSYLVANIA (WHTM) - Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro is favored to win the Pennsylvania Governor race, according to FiveThirtyEight's 2022 Forecast Model. Read: Pennsylvania Senate Race 2022 Polls, PA Governor Polls 2022: Josh Shapiro wins Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Race. The former businessman from Delaware County joined the race in January 2021 and participated in the abc27 primary debate. For more details about Josh Shapiros donation data. Sign In . The Democratic Candidate for the upcoming Pennsylvania Governor Race, Josh Shapiro has been able to raise $20,528,555 in funds to finance his PA Governor Race campaign. Equity. Mastriano's nomination drew attention due to his far-right political views.[1][2][3][4]. . They propose a yearly spending plan that sets the course for months of policy debates with the General Assembly on issues including education spending and taxes. This is counter to the Republican Gains in key races across the country, The gains have risen primarily among women. Here's a list of the ups anddowns: Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a large lead over Republican Doug Mastriano, whose quiet and underfunded campaign has allowed Shapiro to define him as an extremist unfit for the position. The 4 suburban collar counties around the city are also huge vote banks for Dems as they trend away from Trumps GOP. Shapiro also made history by earning the most votes of any gubernatorial candidate in the state's history, garnering just over three million votes. 'That's my guy. GOP Rep. Mark Amodei looks safe for reelection after surviving his primary. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate Republicans in these areas. Who's ahead in each governors race Leading candidate's forecasted chance of winning and margin of victory in each state. Democrats cautiously celebrated when Republican Doug Mastriano won his party's nomination in the May primary, hopeful that even in a pro-GOP environment Pennsylvania voters will reject such an extreme candidate. Just don't ask the candidates", "Did Pennsylvania Gov. Democratic Rep. Andy Kim is facing a self-funding GOP opponent and getting some outside help in the closing week of the campaign. This story originally appeared on Spotlight PA. Pennsylvania politicos are preparing for an intense 2022 election, with open seats for U.S. Senate and governor on the November ballot. November 1:New York moves from Likely to Leans Democratic; Oklahoma Likely to Leans Republican; Pennsylvania Leans to Likely Democratic. Here are the best, FBI: Explosives found in luggage at airport in Allentown. (See how redistricting affected this state with our comprehensive tracker.). He pulled ahead in the primary race after receiving Trumps endorsement days before the primary. While this marked a 2.73% Republican swing from 2018, it was still 13.18% larger than Joe Biden's win in the presidential race in Pennsylvania two years earlier, and 9.86% larger than Shapiro's reelection for Attorney General that same year. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. that guide every prediction he makes. This page will continue to be updated as candidates join or drop from the race. Josh Shapiro has crushed Doug Mastriano in the money race; will votes follow? John Ventre (R) According to election officials, Ventre did not meet the petition requirements to appear on the primary ballot. Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. The current2022 Governor forecastfrom CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections. Now, the 2022 races for governor in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania states that have long been vital to Democratic presidential victories, including Joseph R. Biden Jr.'s are. Redistricting will change everything. Doug Mastriano, meanwhile, piled up large margins in Pennsylvania's rural counties, but also won some populous places like Butler, Washington, and Westmoreland counties near Pittsburgh. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. November 5:Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans R; Connecticut Likely to Safe D; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Leans D; New Mexico Leans to Likely D; South Dakota, Texas Likely to Safe R. The final 2022 Governor ratings fromElections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage. "[182], No debate was held during the general election, as Shapiro and Mastriano were unable to come to an agreement on how to debate. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. 2024 PollsPresidential ElectionSenateGOP PrimaryDem PrimaryBiden Approval Rating Tracker, Looking for the Pennsylvania Senate Forecast? Pennsylvania Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races Advertisement Pennsylvania Governor's Race Likely Democratic Senate Race Remains a Toss-Up House Races. 34.3. In 2018, Lou Barletta was the Republican Partys Donald Trump-endorsed nominee for U.S. Senate, and in May 2021, he announced his run for Pennsylvania governor. The result was similar to the poll prediction. It's pretty obvious", "Attorney General Josh Shapiro announces long-expected run for Pennsylvania governor", "Josh Shapiro wants Austin Davis, a 32-year-old Western Pa. lawmaker, to be his lieutenant governor", "Josh Shapiro has a short list of potential picks he might endorse as a running mate", "Shapiro campaigns for governor in Scranton", "Attorney General Josh Shapiro makes campaign appearance in Erie", "Pa. Rep. Patty Kim explores run for lieutenant governor", "No Joshing, zero Democrats are in the 2022 race for Pa. governor", "Democratic frontrunner for lieutenant governor, Brian Sims visits northcentral Pa. in a unique way", "Philly DA Larry Krasner won't debate his Republican challenger, calling it 'a waste of time', "For Josh Shapiro, the only Dem candidate for Pa. governor, it's all going according to plan", "Pennsylvania AFL-CIO endorses Josh Shapiro for governor", "Unions Help Fuel Democrat Shapiro's $10 Million Warchest in Run for Pa. Which PA Gov candidates are Pennsylvanians searching for? Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. The final days of Doug Mastrianos shoestring campaign: Is his army of fans enough? A majority of Shapiros wins in the model appeared to be within 10% of Mastriano, while some had a virtual tie in the race. Each candidates electability do they over- or under-perform compared to how a generic Democrat or Republican would run in this case. Scott Martin, who dropped out due to an injury, received 3% and Dr. Nche Zama received 1%. Who's ahead in the Pennsylvania governor race? The Montgomery County commissioner announced his candidacy for governor in February 2021. If you use a windshield cover, you can at least forget about scrapping the ice off your windshield to save some time and hassle. Governor", "State Sen. Scott Martin drops out of Pa. governor's race, citing leg injury", "Restaurant Owner Jason Monn Among Others to Run for 4th Legislative District", "Jason Richey, Republican candidate for Pennsylvania Governor, drops out; AP", "Former Pennsylvania House Speaker Mike Turzai no longer running for governor", "Real estate developer Jeff Bartos launches a Republican Senate campaign in Pa", "A former Philly insurance executive is eyeing a run for Pennsylvania governor", "Eyeing 2022 elections, Republicans jockey for Trump's blessing", "A Pa. Republican lawmaker eyes a run for governor with a pitch that breaks from Trump", "State Sen. Dan Laughlin forms exploratory committee for possible gubernatorial bid", "Senator Dan Laughlin not to run for governor in 2022, endorses another candidate", "Poll shows Barletta favored by GOP voters to run for governor", "New: U.S. Rep. Dan Meuser, R-9th District, is officially OUT of the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, according to an email sent to supporters today", "Western Pa. state Rep. Ortitay looking into Pa. governor's run", "Pat Toomey just made the 2022 elections in Pennsylvania a total free-for-all", "Bannon has his MAGA megaphone back. To Likely Democratic a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some projections. Vote banks for Dems as they trend away from Trumps GOP huge banks. Hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible before the primary ballot counties. Survived a member-versus-member primary in August Likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection 2022 Polls, PA Governor Polls:! Attorney general for Pennsylvania, Shapiro was the chairman of the Board of Commissioners in Montgomery County this state our. In February 2021 will votes follow Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary August... 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